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Posts Tagged ‘Tyler Cowen’

Nabeel on what makes art great: 1) Great art is not predictable or obvious, it is surprising. 2) Great art contains multiple overlapping layers of echoes. 3) Great art contains more meaning than can be paraphrased.

Here’s a Jackson Dahl podcast with Tyler and Nabeel.

Excerpts:

In good human works, every detail feels carefully chosen.

Great artworks are hard to compress (i.e. have high information content); slop is easy to compress. 

We barely see everyday objects because we are so used to them (low novel information again), but great art can make you see these objects afresh, the way a child might. 

This strangeness is essential for the effect of great art, because we like to make sense of things, and if we make sense of things too easily they are not interesting to us; great works of art are therefore necessarily somewhat difficult to grasp the meaning of, their meanings are multiple and constantly shifting, and they require a pleasant kind of effort to make sense of.

Great literary works are full of these hidden patterns, which silently create a kind of electric charge of coherence across the text as you are reading, and which contribute to the feeling that we are reading something intentionally knit together as an aesthetic whole.

…not only do you have to surprise readers in interesting and precise ways, but you also have to make sure that multiple patterns cohere across the entire work and are not simply local and uncorrelated.

There’s a feeling of limitless depth that is unique to the really great works: it feels like you can always find more patterns, more coherence, more beauty on rereading. Or that more readings will give you a deeper understanding, but never a perfect or complete one.

Another facet of depth is mystery. Good art is always a bit under-explained. It allows you to speculate. Characters may have multiple motives. 

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Two Ted Talks on how technology and human ingenuity will likely make the future better. The speakers are optimistic, as opposed to a more pessimistic take from Robert Gordon. Erik Brynjolfsson is also optimistic about growth, but thinks human will need to “race with/against the machines”, a theme not dissimilar from Tyler’s latest book Average is over (even though most people seem to associate Tyler with The Great Stagnation, he’s probably more a realistic optimist than a pessimist).

Where do I fall on the debate? I don’t think anyone can predict what will happen that far out, but my bias is that things will continue to get better over the next 100 years or so. I’m not sure where this optimism bias arises from, but it probably serves me well personally.

 

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Average is over: Powering America Beyond the Age of the Great Stagnation

Self-recommending. Tyler argues that as we get better at measuring productivity, market will increasingly reward people who can work well with machines/artificial intelligence and who are good at marketing and making people feel good. These people are likely to be self-motivated and conscientious. I think these are also people who are open to experimentation, more resilient to failure (have grit), and adaptable. To the extent that genes determine a significant part of our personality and temperament and meta-cognition and that they are not easy to change, I tend to agree with Tyler’s conclusion that income inequality trend will continue.  The positive note is that this doesn’t mean the low-income people cannot still enjoy a relatively decent life of cheap entertainment.

Links to interviews: EconTalk,  nprTechCrunch

How to Get Filthy Rich in Rising Asia

A novel about life: luck, growing up, falling in love, what it takes to be successful, decline, and ageing. I like the portrayal of the transient nature of most things in life.

Wealth and Power: China’s Long March to the Twenty-first Century

An interesting read on China’s modern history, focusing on some of the main characters involved. A good starting point to understand Chinese nationalism and the motivations behind the top leaders.

Here is an interview with Orville Schell.

Money Mischief: Episodes in Monetary History

A good, non-technical guide to monetary policy with historical examples. Surprised I didn’t read this earlier.

How China Became Capitalist

Market oriented reforms, pragmatic leadership, and willingness to experiment are some of the key elements to China successful development. China is lucky to have Deng Xiaoping and Zhu Rongji. Coase and Wang ends with a quote by Adam Smith: “The great source of both the misery and disorders of human life, seems to arise from over-rating the difference between one permanent situation and another…”

Lee Kuan Yew: The Grand Master’s Insights on China, the United States, and the World

A short book summarizing Lee’s views. Always interesting to hear what this opinionated visionary has to say.

Korea: The impossible country

Entertaining read to learn more about South Korea’s history and culture and some of the social and economic issues it faces.

The Year Without Pants: WordPress.com and the Future of Work

Scott Berkun on his experience at WordPress and thoughts on the future of work. Similar to Tyler’s view, I read him as saying that those who are self-motivated and can communicate effectively will do well, and learning from experimentation will become increasingly important.

China’s Urban Billion: The story behind the biggest migration in human history

Good overview on how China’s been urbanizing and the various problems it faces. Hukou reforms are complicated as they need to go hand in hand with fiscal reforms to address local government revenue, land reforms and property rights, education and retraining, and city planning and environmental impact. These are likely topics that the central government will address in its upcoming plenum in November.

In Spite of the Gods: The Rise of Modern India

Helps me better understand India’s politics and economy and the tremendous challenges it faces.

Top Dog: The Science of Winning and Losing

Po Bronson and Ashley Merryma summarize research on competition. Some takeaways (not sure if they are robust): Competition helps to improve our performance and facilitates creative output. Better competitors are those better at controlling their psychological state. “Performance is facilitated and learning is impaired by the presence of spectators.” Positive pep talks don’t help much, while thinking about the potential obstacles helps. Boys and girls might thrive in different competitive environment.

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